Recent numerical weather prediction models from regional agencies indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 24–26°C under typical early-autumn subtropical conditions, with partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of the distribution. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 23–26°C outcomes closely bunched. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and local convection become clearer.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 3 сентября?
20°C or below 69%
28°C 49%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
69%
21°C
19%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
46%
20°C or below 69%
28°C 49%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$5 Объем
69%
21°C
$5 Объем
19%
22°C
$0 Объем
25%
23°C
$0 Объем
25%
24°C
$0 Объем
28%
25°C
$0 Объем
31%
26°C
$0 Объем
25%
27°C
$0 Объем
25%
28°C
$5 Объем
49%
29°C
$5 Объем
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from regional agencies indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 24–26°C under typical early-autumn subtropical conditions, with partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of the distribution. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 23–26°C outcomes closely bunched. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and local convection become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$25Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from regional agencies indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 24–26°C under typical early-autumn subtropical conditions, with partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of the distribution. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 23–26°C outcomes closely bunched. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and local convection become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from regional agencies indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 24–26°C under typical early-autumn subtropical conditions, with partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of the distribution. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 23–26°C outcomes closely bunched. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and local convection become clearer.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы