Recent forecasts from Central Weather Administration models and international sources indicate Taipei's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and residual moisture from a weakening tropical depression system. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning with September climatology where average lows range 23–25°C. Trader emphasis on 26°C and nearby bins reflects consensus across ensemble runs showing limited variability, while lower probabilities for extremes account for potential model shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing before resolution. Updated guidance through September 1 evening will refine these market-implied odds.