**Trader consensus on a 23°C low for Tel Aviv on August 25 rests on consistent official forecasts showing a minimum overnight temperature of 23–24°C under clear, stable summer conditions.** National and international meteorological sources, including model guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a typical diurnal range for late August: daytime highs near 31–33°C followed by radiative cooling to around 23°C overnight amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. This matches historical climatology for Tel Aviv in mid-to-late August, where average lows hover near 22–24°C with low day-to-day variability during periods of subtropical high pressure. No significant atmospheric shifts—such as incoming moisture, stronger onshore flow, or model divergences—have appeared in recent runs to alter the expected minimum. The market-implied 99.6% probability on 23°C therefore reflects traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical for this season and location. Only an unanticipated late-evening weather development, such as localized fog or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, could realistically push the observed low outside 22–24°C and affect resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 августа?
23°C 99.6%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$250 Объем
<1%
19°C
$199 Объем
<1%
20°C
$130 Объем
<1%
21°C
$246 Объем
<1%
22°C
$87 Объем
<1%
23°C
$166 Объем
100%
24°C
$187 Объем
<1%
25°C
$625 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,474 Объем
<1%
27°C
$115 Объем
<1%
28°C or higher
$345 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 23°C low for Tel Aviv on August 25 rests on consistent official forecasts showing a minimum overnight temperature of 23–24°C under clear, stable summer conditions.**
National and international meteorological sources, including model guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a typical diurnal range for late August: daytime highs near 31–33°C followed by radiative cooling to around 23°C overnight amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. This matches historical climatology for Tel Aviv in mid-to-late August, where average lows hover near 22–24°C with low day-to-day variability during periods of subtropical high pressure.
No significant atmospheric shifts—such as incoming moisture, stronger onshore flow, or model divergences—have appeared in recent runs to alter the expected minimum. The market-implied 99.6% probability on 23°C therefore reflects traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical for this season and location.
Only an unanticipated late-evening weather development, such as localized fog or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, could realistically push the observed low outside 22–24°C and affect resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$3,825Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 23°C low for Tel Aviv on August 25 rests on consistent official forecasts showing a minimum overnight temperature of 23–24°C under clear, stable summer conditions.**
National and international meteorological sources, including model guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a typical diurnal range for late August: daytime highs near 31–33°C followed by radiative cooling to around 23°C overnight amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. This matches historical climatology for Tel Aviv in mid-to-late August, where average lows hover near 22–24°C with low day-to-day variability during periods of subtropical high pressure.
No significant atmospheric shifts—such as incoming moisture, stronger onshore flow, or model divergences—have appeared in recent runs to alter the expected minimum. The market-implied 99.6% probability on 23°C therefore reflects traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical for this season and location.
Only an unanticipated late-evening weather development, such as localized fog or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, could realistically push the observed low outside 22–24°C and affect resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,825Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 23°C low for Tel Aviv on August 25 rests on consistent official forecasts showing a minimum overnight temperature of 23–24°C under clear, stable summer conditions.** National and international meteorological sources, including model guidance aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a typical diurnal range for late August: daytime highs near 31–33°C followed by radiative cooling to around 23°C overnight amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. This matches historical climatology for Tel Aviv in mid-to-late August, where average lows hover near 22–24°C with low day-to-day variability during periods of subtropical high pressure. No significant atmospheric shifts—such as incoming moisture, stronger onshore flow, or model divergences—have appeared in recent runs to alter the expected minimum. The market-implied 99.6% probability on 23°C therefore reflects traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical for this season and location. Only an unanticipated late-evening weather development, such as localized fog or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, could realistically push the observed low outside 22–24°C and affect resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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