**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.** Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C. Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 28 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 28 августа?
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$11,294 Объем
$11,294 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$11,294 Объем
$11,294 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$1,549 Объем
No
23°C
$1,591 Объем
No
24°C
$1,121 Объем
No
25°C
$1,195 Объем
No
26°C
$3,108 Объем
Yes
27°C
$485 Объем
No
28°C
$432 Объем
No
29°C
$931 Объем
No
30°C
$328 Объем
No
31°C
$202 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$352 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.**
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C.
Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$11,294Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.**
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C.
Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,294Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.** Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C. Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы