**Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate an overnight low near 14–16°C for Toronto on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 15–16°C.** Trader positioning favoring 11°C or below (43.5% implied probability) reflects model uncertainty and potential for stronger radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or a cooler air mass arrives ahead of schedule, while the clustering around 15–17°C outcomes captures consensus guidance. Recent model runs show limited spread but note light winds and variable cloud cover as key variables that could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups rarely produce sub-12°C readings without a pronounced frontal passage, keeping lower-probability warm outcomes (18°C+) suppressed. Updated Environment Canada briefings and overnight model guidance ahead of resolution remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Торонто 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Торонто 25 августа?
11°C или ниже 87%
12°C 41%
21°C или выше 29%
15°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
87%
12°C
41%
13°C
22%
14°C
23%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
7%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C или выше
29%
11°C или ниже 87%
12°C 41%
21°C или выше 29%
15°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$135 Объем
87%
12°C
$5 Объем
41%
13°C
$0 Объем
22%
14°C
$0 Объем
23%
15°C
$0 Объем
27%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C
$0 Объем
27%
18°C
$0 Объем
7%
19°C
$4 Объем
6%
20°C
$5 Объем
11%
21°C или выше
$5 Объем
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate an overnight low near 14–16°C for Toronto on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 15–16°C.** Trader positioning favoring 11°C or below (43.5% implied probability) reflects model uncertainty and potential for stronger radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or a cooler air mass arrives ahead of schedule, while the clustering around 15–17°C outcomes captures consensus guidance. Recent model runs show limited spread but note light winds and variable cloud cover as key variables that could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups rarely produce sub-12°C readings without a pronounced frontal passage, keeping lower-probability warm outcomes (18°C+) suppressed. Updated Environment Canada briefings and overnight model guidance ahead of resolution remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Объем
$154Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate an overnight low near 14–16°C for Toronto on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 15–16°C.** Trader positioning favoring 11°C or below (43.5% implied probability) reflects model uncertainty and potential for stronger radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or a cooler air mass arrives ahead of schedule, while the clustering around 15–17°C outcomes captures consensus guidance. Recent model runs show limited spread but note light winds and variable cloud cover as key variables that could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups rarely produce sub-12°C readings without a pronounced frontal passage, keeping lower-probability warm outcomes (18°C+) suppressed. Updated Environment Canada briefings and overnight model guidance ahead of resolution remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$154Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate an overnight low near 14–16°C for Toronto on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 15–16°C.** Trader positioning favoring 11°C or below (43.5% implied probability) reflects model uncertainty and potential for stronger radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or a cooler air mass arrives ahead of schedule, while the clustering around 15–17°C outcomes captures consensus guidance. Recent model runs show limited spread but note light winds and variable cloud cover as key variables that could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups rarely produce sub-12°C readings without a pronounced frontal passage, keeping lower-probability warm outcomes (18°C+) suppressed. Updated Environment Canada briefings and overnight model guidance ahead of resolution remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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