Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 22 сентября?
17°C или ниже 84%
27°C или выше 82%
21°C 44%
19°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
84%
18°C
18%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
44%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
13%
27°C или выше
82%
17°C или ниже 84%
27°C или выше 82%
21°C 44%
19°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$0 Объем
84%
18°C
$0 Объем
18%
19°C
$0 Объем
40%
20°C
$0 Объем
40%
21°C
$10 Объем
44%
22°C
$0 Объем
22%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$0 Объем
39%
26°C
$0 Объем
13%
27°C или выше
$0 Объем
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$10Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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