South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in statewide elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP victor in the 2026 gubernatorial contest. Term-limited incumbent Henry McMaster's departure has produced a competitive Republican primary field including Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, Attorney General Alan Wilson, and congressional representatives Nancy Mace and Ralph Norman ahead of the June 9 primary, while the Democratic primary remains smaller and less resourced. Historical voting patterns and the absence of recent Democratic success at the executive level since 2003 keep the general election outlook lopsided. A major Republican scandal, unexpected national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in November could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this reliably red state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Южной Каролины
$10,768 Объем
$10,768 Объем

Республиканец
92%

Демократ
7%
$10,768 Объем
$10,768 Объем

Республиканец
92%

Демократ
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in statewide elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP victor in the 2026 gubernatorial contest. Term-limited incumbent Henry McMaster's departure has produced a competitive Republican primary field including Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, Attorney General Alan Wilson, and congressional representatives Nancy Mace and Ralph Norman ahead of the June 9 primary, while the Democratic primary remains smaller and less resourced. Historical voting patterns and the absence of recent Democratic success at the executive level since 2003 keep the general election outlook lopsided. A major Republican scandal, unexpected national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in November could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this reliably red state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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