The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 98.3%
80–100 млрд долл. <1%
100–120 млрд <1%
140 млрд+ <1%
$168,649 Объем
$168,649 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80 млрд
<1%
80–100 млрд долл.
1%
100–120 млрд
1%
120–140 млрд
<1%
140 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
98%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 98.3%
80–100 млрд долл. <1%
100–120 млрд <1%
140 млрд+ <1%
$168,649 Объем
$168,649 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80 млрд
$71,585 Объем
<1%
80–100 млрд долл.
$14,561 Объем
1%
100–120 млрд
$16,230 Объем
1%
120–140 млрд
$33,005 Объем
<1%
140 млрд+
$14,561 Объем
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
$18,707 Объем
98%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Объем
$168,649Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$168,649Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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