Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides faces Republican Jason Gibbs in the November 2026 general election for California's 27th congressional district after both advanced from the June primary. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns, combined with Whitesides' recent 2024 victory and redistricting that further shifted the district leftward, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. This pricing aligns with the wisdom of crowds assessing low competitiveness in a solidly Democratic-leaning area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset improbable absent extraordinary developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-27 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-27 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$13,086 Объем
$13,086 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$13,086 Объем
$13,086 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,526 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$7,561 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides faces Republican Jason Gibbs in the November 2026 general election for California's 27th congressional district after both advanced from the June primary. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns, combined with Whitesides' recent 2024 victory and redistricting that further shifted the district leftward, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. This pricing aligns with the wisdom of crowds assessing low competitiveness in a solidly Democratic-leaning area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset improbable absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Объем
$13,086Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides faces Republican Jason Gibbs in the November 2026 general election for California's 27th congressional district after both advanced from the June primary. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns, combined with Whitesides' recent 2024 victory and redistricting that further shifted the district leftward, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. This pricing aligns with the wisdom of crowds assessing low competitiveness in a solidly Democratic-leaning area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset improbable absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,086Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides faces Republican Jason Gibbs in the November 2026 general election for California's 27th congressional district after both advanced from the June primary. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns, combined with Whitesides' recent 2024 victory and redistricting that further shifted the district leftward, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. This pricing aligns with the wisdom of crowds assessing low competitiveness in a solidly Democratic-leaning area. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset improbable absent extraordinary developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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