Kurdistan Regional Government leaders have focused on renewed fiscal coordination and budget negotiations with Baghdad rather than any secession push, with KRG President Nechirvan Barzani holding recent meetings alongside Iraq’s prime minister to address revenue sharing and customs issues. Resumed oil exports via Türkiye since March 2026 have reinforced these federal economic links. Prolonged internal deadlock over regional government formation following the 2024 elections has further diverted attention from independence efforts. Iranian strikes on KRG territory earlier this year prompted official statements reaffirming commitment to Iraq’s territorial integrity and regional stability, aligning with the 90.5 percent trader consensus that no formal declaration will occur by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКРГ объявит независимость от Ирака к 31 декабря?
КРГ объявит независимость от Ирака к 31 декабря?
Да
$52,590 Объем
$52,590 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$52,590 Объем
$52,590 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kurdistan Regional Government leaders have focused on renewed fiscal coordination and budget negotiations with Baghdad rather than any secession push, with KRG President Nechirvan Barzani holding recent meetings alongside Iraq’s prime minister to address revenue sharing and customs issues. Resumed oil exports via Türkiye since March 2026 have reinforced these federal economic links. Prolonged internal deadlock over regional government formation following the 2024 elections has further diverted attention from independence efforts. Iranian strikes on KRG territory earlier this year prompted official statements reaffirming commitment to Iraq’s territorial integrity and regional stability, aligning with the 90.5 percent trader consensus that no formal declaration will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Объем
$52,590Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kurdistan Regional Government leaders have focused on renewed fiscal coordination and budget negotiations with Baghdad rather than any secession push, with KRG President Nechirvan Barzani holding recent meetings alongside Iraq’s prime minister to address revenue sharing and customs issues. Resumed oil exports via Türkiye since March 2026 have reinforced these federal economic links. Prolonged internal deadlock over regional government formation following the 2024 elections has further diverted attention from independence efforts. Iranian strikes on KRG territory earlier this year prompted official statements reaffirming commitment to Iraq’s territorial integrity and regional stability, aligning with the 90.5 percent trader consensus that no formal declaration will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$52,590Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kurdistan Regional Government leaders have focused on renewed fiscal coordination and budget negotiations with Baghdad rather than any secession push, with KRG President Nechirvan Barzani holding recent meetings alongside Iraq’s prime minister to address revenue sharing and customs issues. Resumed oil exports via Türkiye since March 2026 have reinforced these federal economic links. Prolonged internal deadlock over regional government formation following the 2024 elections has further diverted attention from independence efforts. Iranian strikes on KRG territory earlier this year prompted official statements reaffirming commitment to Iraq’s territorial integrity and regional stability, aligning with the 90.5 percent trader consensus that no formal declaration will occur by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы