Russia's insistence that any direct meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy must finalize a pre-negotiated peace agreement, rather than serve as a negotiation forum, remains the primary driver behind traders' 97% implied probability against a summit by June 30. Recent mediated talks, including the collapsed Geneva sessions in February and limited U.S.-brokered ceasefires in early May that produced only prisoner exchanges, have produced no breakthrough or agenda for leader-level talks. Kremlin statements in April and May have reiterated preconditions such as Ukrainian withdrawals from Donbas and other contested areas before any high-level engagement, while battlefield realities and mutual accusations of violations continue to block momentum. A narrow window for reversal exists if U.S. mediation yields rapid concessions or a surprise diplomatic opening before the deadline, though current patterns show little indication of such acceleration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$268,125 Объем
$268,125 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$268,125 Объем
$268,125 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's insistence that any direct meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy must finalize a pre-negotiated peace agreement, rather than serve as a negotiation forum, remains the primary driver behind traders' 97% implied probability against a summit by June 30. Recent mediated talks, including the collapsed Geneva sessions in February and limited U.S.-brokered ceasefires in early May that produced only prisoner exchanges, have produced no breakthrough or agenda for leader-level talks. Kremlin statements in April and May have reiterated preconditions such as Ukrainian withdrawals from Donbas and other contested areas before any high-level engagement, while battlefield realities and mutual accusations of violations continue to block momentum. A narrow window for reversal exists if U.S. mediation yields rapid concessions or a surprise diplomatic opening before the deadline, though current patterns show little indication of such acceleration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Объем
$268,125Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's insistence that any direct meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy must finalize a pre-negotiated peace agreement, rather than serve as a negotiation forum, remains the primary driver behind traders' 97% implied probability against a summit by June 30. Recent mediated talks, including the collapsed Geneva sessions in February and limited U.S.-brokered ceasefires in early May that produced only prisoner exchanges, have produced no breakthrough or agenda for leader-level talks. Kremlin statements in April and May have reiterated preconditions such as Ukrainian withdrawals from Donbas and other contested areas before any high-level engagement, while battlefield realities and mutual accusations of violations continue to block momentum. A narrow window for reversal exists if U.S. mediation yields rapid concessions or a surprise diplomatic opening before the deadline, though current patterns show little indication of such acceleration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$268,125Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's insistence that any direct meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy must finalize a pre-negotiated peace agreement, rather than serve as a negotiation forum, remains the primary driver behind traders' 97% implied probability against a summit by June 30. Recent mediated talks, including the collapsed Geneva sessions in February and limited U.S.-brokered ceasefires in early May that produced only prisoner exchanges, have produced no breakthrough or agenda for leader-level talks. Kremlin statements in April and May have reiterated preconditions such as Ukrainian withdrawals from Donbas and other contested areas before any high-level engagement, while battlefield realities and mutual accusations of violations continue to block momentum. A narrow window for reversal exists if U.S. mediation yields rapid concessions or a surprise diplomatic opening before the deadline, though current patterns show little indication of such acceleration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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