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Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

icon for Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

дек. 31

дек. 31

7% вероятность
Polymarket

$15,896 Объем

7% вероятность
Polymarket

$15,896 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. **Major corporate tax legislation passed in mid-2025 has already addressed key business provisions without further rate reductions.** President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, which made permanent many TCJA business incentives—including full expensing for R&D, bonus depreciation, and interest deductions—while leaving the 21% corporate rate unchanged. This package delivered substantial corporate relief retroactive into 2025 and beyond, but stopped short of additional headline rate cuts. In the current 2026 legislative environment, attention has shifted to implementation, tariff policy, and other priorities rather than new corporate tax legislation. With roughly six months remaining before 2027 and no active congressional push for further rate reductions evident in recent developments, trader consensus assigns only a slim 6.5% chance of a cut occurring in time. Historical patterns of tax reform timing and the scale of the 2025 overhaul reinforce the view that additional corporate rate action is unlikely before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Объем
$15,896
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. **Major corporate tax legislation passed in mid-2025 has already addressed key business provisions without further rate reductions.** President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, which made permanent many TCJA business incentives—including full expensing for R&D, bonus depreciation, and interest deductions—while leaving the 21% corporate rate unchanged. This package delivered substantial corporate relief retroactive into 2025 and beyond, but stopped short of additional headline rate cuts. In the current 2026 legislative environment, attention has shifted to implementation, tariff policy, and other priorities rather than new corporate tax legislation. With roughly six months remaining before 2027 and no active congressional push for further rate reductions evident in recent developments, trader consensus assigns only a slim 6.5% chance of a cut occurring in time. Historical patterns of tax reform timing and the scale of the 2025 overhaul reinforce the view that additional corporate rate action is unlikely before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Объем
$15,896
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 7% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 7¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.9K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущая вероятность для «Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?» составляет 7% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 7%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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