Recent July 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and easing from 3.5% in June amid softer energy prices and a modest shelter deceleration. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 3.36% headline reading, while core measures hover near 2.4-2.5%, reflecting persistent services pressures offset by goods disinflation. Trader positioning clusters tightly between 3.3% and 3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in gasoline, food, and shelter components can swing the annual rate by several tenths, with limited new data available early in the reference month. Market-implied odds embed expectations for continued moderation from the May 2026 peak yet acknowledge upside risks from tariff pass-through and firm labor costs ahead of the September 11 release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 42%
3.3% 33%
3.5% 13%
3.2% 10.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
33%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
13%
3.6%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 42%
3.3% 33%
3.5% 13%
3.2% 10.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$199 ปริมาณ
2%
3.0%
$216 ปริมาณ
5%
3.1%
$236 ปริมาณ
5%
3.2%
$216 ปริมาณ
10%
3.3%
$3,141 ปริมาณ
33%
3.4%
$3,658 ปริมาณ
42%
3.5%
$473 ปริมาณ
13%
3.6%
$187 ปริมาณ
5%
3.7%
$286 ปริมาณ
3%
3.8%
$307 ปริมาณ
3%
3.9%
$335 ปริมาณ
1%
≥4.0%
$220 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and easing from 3.5% in June amid softer energy prices and a modest shelter deceleration. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 3.36% headline reading, while core measures hover near 2.4-2.5%, reflecting persistent services pressures offset by goods disinflation. Trader positioning clusters tightly between 3.3% and 3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in gasoline, food, and shelter components can swing the annual rate by several tenths, with limited new data available early in the reference month. Market-implied odds embed expectations for continued moderation from the May 2026 peak yet acknowledge upside risks from tariff pass-through and firm labor costs ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,470วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and easing from 3.5% in June amid softer energy prices and a modest shelter deceleration. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 3.36% headline reading, while core measures hover near 2.4-2.5%, reflecting persistent services pressures offset by goods disinflation. Trader positioning clusters tightly between 3.3% and 3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in gasoline, food, and shelter components can swing the annual rate by several tenths, with limited new data available early in the reference month. Market-implied odds embed expectations for continued moderation from the May 2026 peak yet acknowledge upside risks from tariff pass-through and firm labor costs ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,470วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and easing from 3.5% in June amid softer energy prices and a modest shelter deceleration. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 3.36% headline reading, while core measures hover near 2.4-2.5%, reflecting persistent services pressures offset by goods disinflation. Trader positioning clusters tightly between 3.3% and 3.4% outcomes because monthly volatility in gasoline, food, and shelter components can swing the annual rate by several tenths, with limited new data available early in the reference month. Market-implied odds embed expectations for continued moderation from the May 2026 peak yet acknowledge upside risks from tariff pass-through and firm labor costs ahead of the September 11 release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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