Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 42%
3.3% 33%
3.2% 17.5%
3.5% 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
12%
3.3%
33%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
13%
3.6%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 42%
3.3% 33%
3.2% 17.5%
3.5% 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$187 ปริมาณ
2%
3.0%
$204 ปริมาณ
5%
3.1%
$224 ปริมาณ
5%
3.2%
$174 ปริมาณ
12%
3.3%
$3,081 ปริมาณ
33%
3.4%
$3,641 ปริมาณ
42%
3.5%
$461 ปริมาณ
13%
3.6%
$175 ปริมาณ
5%
3.7%
$274 ปริมาณ
3%
3.8%
$295 ปริมาณ
3%
3.9%
$323 ปริมาณ
1%
≥4.0%
$208 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,244วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,244วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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