Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in São Paulo during the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads in the state's large electorate. Recent surveys, including a mid-September Real Time Big Data poll, show him at 41% against Lula's 35%, with all other listed candidates below 7%. This edge stems from sustained support among right-leaning voters in the key battleground state, building on prior Datafolha and Quaest trends that positioned him ahead or tied nationally in São Paulo-specific samples. Low probabilities for alternatives align with their single-digit shares and limited momentum. Late shifts in turnout, debate performances, or national campaign developments before election day could still alter the first-round ordering in this high-volume state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 3.1%
Renan Santos <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$25,804 ปริมาณ
$25,804 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Flavio Bolsonaro
95%
Lula
3%
Renan Santos
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 3.1%
Renan Santos <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$25,804 ปริมาณ
$25,804 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Flavio Bolsonaro
$8,137 ปริมาณ
95%
Lula
$9,353 ปริมาณ
3%
Renan Santos
$1,405 ปริมาณ
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$593 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$714 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$700 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$743 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clariana Barao
$576 ปริมาณ
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$576 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,189 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$671 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$577 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in São Paulo during the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads in the state's large electorate. Recent surveys, including a mid-September Real Time Big Data poll, show him at 41% against Lula's 35%, with all other listed candidates below 7%. This edge stems from sustained support among right-leaning voters in the key battleground state, building on prior Datafolha and Quaest trends that positioned him ahead or tied nationally in São Paulo-specific samples. Low probabilities for alternatives align with their single-digit shares and limited momentum. Late shifts in turnout, debate performances, or national campaign developments before election day could still alter the first-round ordering in this high-volume state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,804วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in São Paulo during the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads in the state's large electorate. Recent surveys, including a mid-September Real Time Big Data poll, show him at 41% against Lula's 35%, with all other listed candidates below 7%. This edge stems from sustained support among right-leaning voters in the key battleground state, building on prior Datafolha and Quaest trends that positioned him ahead or tied nationally in São Paulo-specific samples. Low probabilities for alternatives align with their single-digit shares and limited momentum. Late shifts in turnout, debate performances, or national campaign developments before election day could still alter the first-round ordering in this high-volume state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,804วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in São Paulo during the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads in the state's large electorate. Recent surveys, including a mid-September Real Time Big Data poll, show him at 41% against Lula's 35%, with all other listed candidates below 7%. This edge stems from sustained support among right-leaning voters in the key battleground state, building on prior Datafolha and Quaest trends that positioned him ahead or tied nationally in São Paulo-specific samples. Low probabilities for alternatives align with their single-digit shares and limited momentum. Late shifts in turnout, debate performances, or national campaign developments before election day could still alter the first-round ordering in this high-volume state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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