The latest preliminary CDC FluSurv-NET data places the cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate through Week 18 (ending May 9, 2026) squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 population range, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability for this outcome. Week 17's official cumulative rate stood at 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—fueled earlier by dominant influenza A(H3N2) circulation, though weekly rates have since plunged to 0.2 per 100,000 amid low national flu activity and a shift toward influenza B detections. Forecasts from CDC's FluSight ensemble predict further declines in hospital admissions. Realistic challenges include substantial upward revisions from reporting delays or an unforeseen late-season surge, but persistent low test positivity and declining trends make shifts to adjacent bins unlikely; final confirmation arrives in Thursday's FluView update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 98.0%
90–95 1.9%
80–85 <1%
100+ <1%
$13,325 ปริมาณ
$13,325 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
<80
1%
80–85
1%
85–90
98%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
1%
85–90 98.0%
90–95 1.9%
80–85 <1%
100+ <1%
$13,325 ปริมาณ
$13,325 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
<80
$1,606 ปริมาณ
1%
80–85
$1,729 ปริมาณ
1%
85–90
$5,522 ปริมาณ
98%
90–95
$2,681 ปริมาณ
2%
95–100
$972 ปริมาณ
<1%
100+
$815 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The latest preliminary CDC FluSurv-NET data places the cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate through Week 18 (ending May 9, 2026) squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 population range, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability for this outcome. Week 17's official cumulative rate stood at 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—fueled earlier by dominant influenza A(H3N2) circulation, though weekly rates have since plunged to 0.2 per 100,000 amid low national flu activity and a shift toward influenza B detections. Forecasts from CDC's FluSight ensemble predict further declines in hospital admissions. Realistic challenges include substantial upward revisions from reporting delays or an unforeseen late-season surge, but persistent low test positivity and declining trends make shifts to adjacent bins unlikely; final confirmation arrives in Thursday's FluView update.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,325วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The latest preliminary CDC FluSurv-NET data places the cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate through Week 18 (ending May 9, 2026) squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 population range, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability for this outcome. Week 17's official cumulative rate stood at 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—fueled earlier by dominant influenza A(H3N2) circulation, though weekly rates have since plunged to 0.2 per 100,000 amid low national flu activity and a shift toward influenza B detections. Forecasts from CDC's FluSight ensemble predict further declines in hospital admissions. Realistic challenges include substantial upward revisions from reporting delays or an unforeseen late-season surge, but persistent low test positivity and declining trends make shifts to adjacent bins unlikely; final confirmation arrives in Thursday's FluView update.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,325วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest preliminary CDC FluSurv-NET data places the cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate through Week 18 (ending May 9, 2026) squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 population range, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability for this outcome. Week 17's official cumulative rate stood at 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—fueled earlier by dominant influenza A(H3N2) circulation, though weekly rates have since plunged to 0.2 per 100,000 amid low national flu activity and a shift toward influenza B detections. Forecasts from CDC's FluSight ensemble predict further declines in hospital admissions. Realistic challenges include substantial upward revisions from reporting delays or an unforeseen late-season surge, but persistent low test positivity and declining trends make shifts to adjacent bins unlikely; final confirmation arrives in Thursday's FluView update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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