Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15 point to a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with south winds and heat indices reaching 103–108°F. Persistent high pressure and dry air mass across South-Central Texas promote strong daytime heating through clear skies and high solar insolation, consistent with peak August climatology where daily highs commonly reach the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin at 72% implied probability while assigning modest odds to 102–103°F. No major forecast shifts or moisture intrusions have altered the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 15?
100-101°F 72%
102-103°F 17%
98-99°F 10%
96-97°F 3.4%
$12,946 ปริมาณ
$12,946 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
72%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 72%
102-103°F 17%
98-99°F 10%
96-97°F 3.4%
$12,946 ปริมาณ
$12,946 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
$193 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$498 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$1,701 ปริมาณ
3%
98-99°F
$1,761 ปริมาณ
10%
100-101°F
$3,988 ปริมาณ
72%
102-103°F
$2,292 ปริมาณ
17%
104-105°F
$560 ปริมาณ
3%
106-107°F
$348 ปริมาณ
1%
108-109°F
$777 ปริมาณ
<1%
110°F or higher
$534 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15 point to a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with south winds and heat indices reaching 103–108°F. Persistent high pressure and dry air mass across South-Central Texas promote strong daytime heating through clear skies and high solar insolation, consistent with peak August climatology where daily highs commonly reach the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin at 72% implied probability while assigning modest odds to 102–103°F. No major forecast shifts or moisture intrusions have altered the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,946วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15 point to a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with south winds and heat indices reaching 103–108°F. Persistent high pressure and dry air mass across South-Central Texas promote strong daytime heating through clear skies and high solar insolation, consistent with peak August climatology where daily highs commonly reach the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin at 72% implied probability while assigning modest odds to 102–103°F. No major forecast shifts or moisture intrusions have altered the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,946วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15 point to a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, with south winds and heat indices reaching 103–108°F. Persistent high pressure and dry air mass across South-Central Texas promote strong daytime heating through clear skies and high solar insolation, consistent with peak August climatology where daily highs commonly reach the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin at 72% implied probability while assigning modest odds to 102–103°F. No major forecast shifts or moisture intrusions have altered the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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