National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 102-103°F as the leading outcome for Austin on August 20, with models indicating a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence, and daytime heating under typical late-summer insolation. This aligns with climatological peaks for central Texas, where average August highs near 95°F can exceed 100°F during such patterns, though recent model runs show slight cooling from upstream moisture advection. Traders assign secondary weight to 104-105°F, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and soil moisture feedbacks that could amplify or suppress maxima. Official guidance from NOAA updates will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 20?
102-103°F 54%
104-105°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
54%
104-105°F
32%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 54%
104-105°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
95°F or below
$34 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$28 ปริมาณ
4%
98-99°F
$22 ปริมาณ
3%
100-101°F
$45 ปริมาณ
11%
102-103°F
$228 ปริมาณ
54%
104-105°F
$110 ปริมาณ
32%
106-107°F
$81 ปริมาณ
6%
108-109°F
$78 ปริมาณ
2%
110-111°F
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
112-113°F
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
114°F or higher
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 102-103°F as the leading outcome for Austin on August 20, with models indicating a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence, and daytime heating under typical late-summer insolation. This aligns with climatological peaks for central Texas, where average August highs near 95°F can exceed 100°F during such patterns, though recent model runs show slight cooling from upstream moisture advection. Traders assign secondary weight to 104-105°F, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and soil moisture feedbacks that could amplify or suppress maxima. Official guidance from NOAA updates will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,054วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 102-103°F as the leading outcome for Austin on August 20, with models indicating a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence, and daytime heating under typical late-summer insolation. This aligns with climatological peaks for central Texas, where average August highs near 95°F can exceed 100°F during such patterns, though recent model runs show slight cooling from upstream moisture advection. Traders assign secondary weight to 104-105°F, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and soil moisture feedbacks that could amplify or suppress maxima. Official guidance from NOAA updates will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,054วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 102-103°F as the leading outcome for Austin on August 20, with models indicating a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence, and daytime heating under typical late-summer insolation. This aligns with climatological peaks for central Texas, where average August highs near 95°F can exceed 100°F during such patterns, though recent model runs show slight cooling from upstream moisture advection. Traders assign secondary weight to 104-105°F, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and soil moisture feedbacks that could amplify or suppress maxima. Official guidance from NOAA updates will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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