Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 99°F in Houston on August 20, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity from Gulf moisture, and limited afternoon convection. This supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Recent days have featured upper-90s readings under mostly clear skies, with heat indices above 105°F, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 95-96°F but can reach 100°F without widespread storms or sea-breeze cooling. Minor spread in outlooks (96-101°F range) arises from variable cloud timing and steering patterns, keeping 100-101°F at 20% while capping higher outcomes below 10%. Updated forecast discussions expected overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 20?
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 20%
96-97°F 17%
102-103°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
20%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 20%
96-97°F 17%
102-103°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
91°F or below
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$76 ปริมาณ
4%
96-97°F
$25 ปริมาณ
17%
98-99°F
$254 ปริมาณ
54%
100-101°F
$67 ปริมาณ
20%
102-103°F
$1 ปริมาณ
7%
104-105°F
$36 ปริมาณ
3%
106-107°F
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
108-109°F
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
110°F or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 99°F in Houston on August 20, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity from Gulf moisture, and limited afternoon convection. This supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Recent days have featured upper-90s readings under mostly clear skies, with heat indices above 105°F, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 95-96°F but can reach 100°F without widespread storms or sea-breeze cooling. Minor spread in outlooks (96-101°F range) arises from variable cloud timing and steering patterns, keeping 100-101°F at 20% while capping higher outcomes below 10%. Updated forecast discussions expected overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$548วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 99°F in Houston on August 20, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity from Gulf moisture, and limited afternoon convection. This supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Recent days have featured upper-90s readings under mostly clear skies, with heat indices above 105°F, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 95-96°F but can reach 100°F without widespread storms or sea-breeze cooling. Minor spread in outlooks (96-101°F range) arises from variable cloud timing and steering patterns, keeping 100-101°F at 20% while capping higher outcomes below 10%. Updated forecast discussions expected overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$548วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 99°F in Houston on August 20, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity from Gulf moisture, and limited afternoon convection. This supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Recent days have featured upper-90s readings under mostly clear skies, with heat indices above 105°F, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 95-96°F but can reach 100°F without widespread storms or sea-breeze cooling. Minor spread in outlooks (96-101°F range) arises from variable cloud timing and steering patterns, keeping 100-101°F at 20% while capping higher outcomes below 10%. Updated forecast discussions expected overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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