Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C in the lead, reflecting uncertainty in the precise peak timing and strength of the sea-breeze circulation that typically moderates coastal temperatures. Historical May averages hover around 22 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, though a modest shift in sea-surface temperatures or unexpected frontal passage could still nudge the peak outside the 30 °C bin before official observations finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,387 ปริมาณ
$49,387 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,387 ปริมาณ
$49,387 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,533 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$936 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$944 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,473 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,007 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$4,814 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,599 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$8,754 ปริมาณ
100%
31°C
$3,779 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$4,696 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$14,852 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C in the lead, reflecting uncertainty in the precise peak timing and strength of the sea-breeze circulation that typically moderates coastal temperatures. Historical May averages hover around 22 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, though a modest shift in sea-surface temperatures or unexpected frontal passage could still nudge the peak outside the 30 °C bin before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,387วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C in the lead, reflecting uncertainty in the precise peak timing and strength of the sea-breeze circulation that typically moderates coastal temperatures. Historical May averages hover around 22 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, though a modest shift in sea-surface temperatures or unexpected frontal passage could still nudge the peak outside the 30 °C bin before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,387วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C in the lead, reflecting uncertainty in the precise peak timing and strength of the sea-breeze circulation that typically moderates coastal temperatures. Historical May averages hover around 22 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, though a modest shift in sea-surface temperatures or unexpected frontal passage could still nudge the peak outside the 30 °C bin before official observations finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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