**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 2 daily high temperature centers on 32°C (46.5% implied probability) and 33°C (30.0%), reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models projecting an afternoon peak near or slightly above 31–32°C amid late-summer conditions.** Official agency guidance and ensemble models indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwest winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, which limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity that supports elevated heat indices. Current observations show morning temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C, consistent with a daily maximum in the low 30s°C range. Historical September baselines for Busan average highs near 27–29°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by persistent warm, moist air masses typical of early autumn transition. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or increased convective activity that caps the peak; updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration observations will provide the final resolution data. Market pricing aligns closely with the narrow spread of reliable forecasts, underscoring the precision of crowd-sourced assessment around this narrow temperature band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on September 2?
32°C 48%
33°C 30%
31°C 13%
34°C 6%
$10,909 ปริมาณ
$10,909 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
48%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
33°C 30%
31°C 13%
34°C 6%
$10,909 ปริมาณ
$10,909 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
48%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 2 daily high temperature centers on 32°C (46.5% implied probability) and 33°C (30.0%), reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models projecting an afternoon peak near or slightly above 31–32°C amid late-summer conditions.** Official agency guidance and ensemble models indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwest winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, which limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity that supports elevated heat indices. Current observations show morning temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C, consistent with a daily maximum in the low 30s°C range. Historical September baselines for Busan average highs near 27–29°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by persistent warm, moist air masses typical of early autumn transition. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or increased convective activity that caps the peak; updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration observations will provide the final resolution data. Market pricing aligns closely with the narrow spread of reliable forecasts, underscoring the precision of crowd-sourced assessment around this narrow temperature band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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