Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,093 ปริมาณ
$81,093 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,093 ปริมาณ
$81,093 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
8°C or below
$2,281 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$1,594 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,526 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$10,292 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$4,661 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,765 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$6,175 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$26,426 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$8,651 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$9,564 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$5,161 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,093วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,093วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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