Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show a southwesterly airstream bringing very hot, humid conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on August 14, pointing to daytime highs clustered around 30–32°C and supporting the market's tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Seasonal August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C, but variable cloud cover and rainfall can suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical summer variability in steering patterns and moisture, with no strong signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
$14,204 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,204 ปริมาณ
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
30%
31°C
39%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
$14,204 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,204 ปริมาณ
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$537 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,516 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$1,974 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$2,398 ปริมาณ
30%
31°C
$1,987 ปริมาณ
39%
32°C
$2,589 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C
$435 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$721 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$458 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$289 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show a southwesterly airstream bringing very hot, humid conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on August 14, pointing to daytime highs clustered around 30–32°C and supporting the market's tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Seasonal August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C, but variable cloud cover and rainfall can suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical summer variability in steering patterns and moisture, with no strong signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,204วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show a southwesterly airstream bringing very hot, humid conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on August 14, pointing to daytime highs clustered around 30–32°C and supporting the market's tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Seasonal August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C, but variable cloud cover and rainfall can suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical summer variability in steering patterns and moisture, with no strong signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,204วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show a southwesterly airstream bringing very hot, humid conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms on August 14, pointing to daytime highs clustered around 30–32°C and supporting the market's tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Seasonal August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C, but variable cloud cover and rainfall can suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical summer variability in steering patterns and moisture, with no strong signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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