Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. In mid-May, subtropical Hong Kong typically experiences highs of 26–29°C under the influence of the South China Sea high-pressure system, which suppresses cloud cover and allows moderate solar heating while persistent humidity and sea breezes limit further warming. This measured value aligns closely with climatological averages for the period and falls well within the range of verified station data. Only an improbable post-observation revision or a rare microclimate anomaly at the official site could shift the result, though such adjustments remain statistically negligible given the established measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$291,880 ปริมาณ
$291,880 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$291,880 ปริมาณ
$291,880 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,551 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,250 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,799 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,477 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$30,336 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$69,254 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$88,914 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$45,395 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,841 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. In mid-May, subtropical Hong Kong typically experiences highs of 26–29°C under the influence of the South China Sea high-pressure system, which suppresses cloud cover and allows moderate solar heating while persistent humidity and sea breezes limit further warming. This measured value aligns closely with climatological averages for the period and falls well within the range of verified station data. Only an improbable post-observation revision or a rare microclimate anomaly at the official site could shift the result, though such adjustments remain statistically negligible given the established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$291,880วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. In mid-May, subtropical Hong Kong typically experiences highs of 26–29°C under the influence of the South China Sea high-pressure system, which suppresses cloud cover and allows moderate solar heating while persistent humidity and sea breezes limit further warming. This measured value aligns closely with climatological averages for the period and falls well within the range of verified station data. Only an improbable post-observation revision or a rare microclimate anomaly at the official site could shift the result, though such adjustments remain statistically negligible given the established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$291,880วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. In mid-May, subtropical Hong Kong typically experiences highs of 26–29°C under the influence of the South China Sea high-pressure system, which suppresses cloud cover and allows moderate solar heating while persistent humidity and sea breezes limit further warming. This measured value aligns closely with climatological averages for the period and falls well within the range of verified station data. Only an improbable post-observation revision or a rare microclimate anomaly at the official site could shift the result, though such adjustments remain statistically negligible given the established measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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