Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. This value aligns with regional model consensus and recent atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Traders price in negligible risk of revision because Hong Kong Observatory surface-station data undergo rigorous quality control before final reporting. Only an unanticipated post-analysis correction to the official record or a redefinition of the measurement window could shift the resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 ปริมาณ
$302,807 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 ปริมาณ
$302,807 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$12,423 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$12,259 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$6,633 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,753 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$37,336 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$77,368 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$43,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$39,653 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$25,261 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. This value aligns with regional model consensus and recent atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Traders price in negligible risk of revision because Hong Kong Observatory surface-station data undergo rigorous quality control before final reporting. Only an unanticipated post-analysis correction to the official record or a redefinition of the measurement window could shift the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,807วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. This value aligns with regional model consensus and recent atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Traders price in negligible risk of revision because Hong Kong Observatory surface-station data undergo rigorous quality control before final reporting. Only an unanticipated post-analysis correction to the official record or a redefinition of the measurement window could shift the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,807วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. This value aligns with regional model consensus and recent atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Traders price in negligible risk of revision because Hong Kong Observatory surface-station data undergo rigorous quality control before final reporting. Only an unanticipated post-analysis correction to the official record or a redefinition of the measurement window could shift the resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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