Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 78.5%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$14,909 ปริมาณ
$14,909 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
24%
86°F or higher
78%
86°F or higher 78.5%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$14,909 ปริมาณ
$14,909 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$1,361 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$2,053 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$3,678 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$366 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$795 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$1,605 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$1,810 ปริมาณ
24%
86°F or higher
$1,397 ปริมาณ
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,909วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,909วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOURecent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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