Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, with modest warming from southerly flow off the Anatolian plateau and limited cloud cover under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors surface heating during peak insolation hours, though light northerly breezes and possible scattered showers could cap the high near 20 °C if marine air intrudes earlier than modeled. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 21–23 °C, placing the current forecast near the seasonal mean and explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 20 °C and 22 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak and resolve the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 30%
22°C 28%
20°C 20%
23°C or higher 10.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
30%
22°C
28%
23°C or higher
11%
21°C 30%
22°C 28%
20°C 20%
23°C or higher 10.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$456 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$854 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$726 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$1,666 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$965 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$484 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$179 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$175 ปริมาณ
30%
22°C
$188 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C or higher
$504 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, with modest warming from southerly flow off the Anatolian plateau and limited cloud cover under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors surface heating during peak insolation hours, though light northerly breezes and possible scattered showers could cap the high near 20 °C if marine air intrudes earlier than modeled. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 21–23 °C, placing the current forecast near the seasonal mean and explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 20 °C and 22 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak and resolve the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,546วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, with modest warming from southerly flow off the Anatolian plateau and limited cloud cover under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors surface heating during peak insolation hours, though light northerly breezes and possible scattered showers could cap the high near 20 °C if marine air intrudes earlier than modeled. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 21–23 °C, placing the current forecast near the seasonal mean and explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 20 °C and 22 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak and resolve the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,546วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, with modest warming from southerly flow off the Anatolian plateau and limited cloud cover under a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup favors surface heating during peak insolation hours, though light northerly breezes and possible scattered showers could cap the high near 20 °C if marine air intrudes earlier than modeled. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 21–23 °C, placing the current forecast near the seasonal mean and explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 20 °C and 22 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak and resolve the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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