Trader consensus for a Jinan high of 26°C or higher on August 14 reflects established August climatology and current forecast guidance. Mid-summer conditions over Shandong typically feature highs of 30–35°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, with official model runs and agency outlooks projecting daytime peaks near 29–32°C. These values sit well above the market threshold, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with minimal support in the latest guidance. Market-implied odds therefore align closely with observational baselines and short-range model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$273 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$509 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$492 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$802 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$482 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$453 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$393 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$992 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,742 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for a Jinan high of 26°C or higher on August 14 reflects established August climatology and current forecast guidance. Mid-summer conditions over Shandong typically feature highs of 30–35°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, with official model runs and agency outlooks projecting daytime peaks near 29–32°C. These values sit well above the market threshold, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with minimal support in the latest guidance. Market-implied odds therefore align closely with observational baselines and short-range model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,903วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for a Jinan high of 26°C or higher on August 14 reflects established August climatology and current forecast guidance. Mid-summer conditions over Shandong typically feature highs of 30–35°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, with official model runs and agency outlooks projecting daytime peaks near 29–32°C. These values sit well above the market threshold, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with minimal support in the latest guidance. Market-implied odds therefore align closely with observational baselines and short-range model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,903วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for a Jinan high of 26°C or higher on August 14 reflects established August climatology and current forecast guidance. Mid-summer conditions over Shandong typically feature highs of 30–35°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, with official model runs and agency outlooks projecting daytime peaks near 29–32°C. These values sit well above the market threshold, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation could suppress readings below 26°C—an outcome with minimal support in the latest guidance. Market-implied odds therefore align closely with observational baselines and short-range model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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