Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on August 14, driven by lingering cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 27–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus on modest instability from residual monsoon moisture rather than full summer insolation. Key differentiators between these outcomes include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C; historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 14?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 14?
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
26°C 11%
25°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C
11%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
7%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
26°C 11%
25°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$18 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$27 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$72 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$33 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on August 14, driven by lingering cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 27–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus on modest instability from residual monsoon moisture rather than full summer insolation. Key differentiators between these outcomes include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C; historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on August 14, driven by lingering cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 27–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus on modest instability from residual monsoon moisture rather than full summer insolation. Key differentiators between these outcomes include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C; historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on August 14, driven by lingering cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 27–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus on modest instability from residual monsoon moisture rather than full summer insolation. Key differentiators between these outcomes include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C; historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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