**Trader consensus on the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 37°C and 38°C as the most probable outcomes because official IMD guidance and regional model runs point to a peak near these values amid increasing pre-monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime heating moderated by rising humidity and isolated thundershower activity across western Uttar Pradesh, which limits full solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Subtle differences between 37°C and 38°C hinge on the precise timing of cloud cover, boundary-layer wind shifts, and any localized convective development on June 14—factors that can suppress or allow an extra degree of surface warming depending on the hour of maximum temperature. Historical June averages near 37–39°C provide context, yet current atmospheric profiles with elevated moisture content favor the narrow band now dominating market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs will likely determine whether probabilities shift before the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 48%
38°C 39%
36°C 7%
39°C 3.0%
$21,609 ปริมาณ
$21,609 ปริมาณ
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
7%
37°C
48%
38°C
39%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 48%
38°C 39%
36°C 7%
39°C 3.0%
$21,609 ปริมาณ
$21,609 ปริมาณ
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
7%
37°C
48%
38°C
39%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 37°C and 38°C as the most probable outcomes because official IMD guidance and regional model runs point to a peak near these values amid increasing pre-monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime heating moderated by rising humidity and isolated thundershower activity across western Uttar Pradesh, which limits full solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Subtle differences between 37°C and 38°C hinge on the precise timing of cloud cover, boundary-layer wind shifts, and any localized convective development on June 14—factors that can suppress or allow an extra degree of surface warming depending on the hour of maximum temperature. Historical June averages near 37–39°C provide context, yet current atmospheric profiles with elevated moisture content favor the narrow band now dominating market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs will likely determine whether probabilities shift before the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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