PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 17?
35°C 41%
34°C 37%
36°C 13.7%
37°C 1.8%
$15,585 ปริมาณ
$15,585 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
33%
35°C
41%
36°C
14%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
34°C 37%
36°C 13.7%
37°C 1.8%
$15,585 ปริมาณ
$15,585 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
$2,162 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,210 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,658 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,038 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$2,322 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$772 ปริมาณ
33%
35°C
$1,163 ปริมาณ
41%
36°C
$1,742 ปริมาณ
14%
37°C
$732 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$628 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$349 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,585วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,585วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLPAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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