Recent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 18?
34°C 36%
35°C 28%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
16%
34°C
36%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
35°C 28%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
$758 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$179 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$49 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$369 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$61 ปริมาณ
36%
35°C
$55 ปริมาณ
28%
36°C
$1 ปริมาณ
11%
37°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
38°C
$126 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C or higher
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,667วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,667วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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