Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak temperature near 21–22 °C in the Po Valley today, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge, mostly clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud suppression. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology for Milan, where average daily maxima typically range from 21–23 °C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns, with minimal risk of deviation from frontal passages or enhanced mixing that could alter the maximum. Resolution will depend on the official recording at Malpensa International Airport, where final hourly observations determine the exact high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 57%
22°C 31%
20°C 10%
23°C 7%
$19,778 ปริมาณ
$19,778 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
57%
22°C
31%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 57%
22°C 31%
20°C 10%
23°C 7%
$19,778 ปริมาณ
$19,778 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
57%
22°C
31%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak temperature near 21–22 °C in the Po Valley today, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge, mostly clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud suppression. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology for Milan, where average daily maxima typically range from 21–23 °C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns, with minimal risk of deviation from frontal passages or enhanced mixing that could alter the maximum. Resolution will depend on the official recording at Malpensa International Airport, where final hourly observations determine the exact high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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