Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds to Milan on September 3, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, limiting evaporative cooling while allowing strong insolation to push temperatures above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 26 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs have remained stable, with only modest spread around the 32 °C threshold, which explains the market’s heaviest weighting there; a slight westward shift in the ridge axis or earlier marine influence could cap readings at 31 °C or allow a brief push to 33 °C. Updated model cycles and official Italian Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 3?
32°C 45%
31°C 31%
33°C 20%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 45%
31°C 31%
33°C 20%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$4 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$6 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$59 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$15 ปริมาณ
45%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds to Milan on September 3, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, limiting evaporative cooling while allowing strong insolation to push temperatures above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 26 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs have remained stable, with only modest spread around the 32 °C threshold, which explains the market’s heaviest weighting there; a slight westward shift in the ridge axis or earlier marine influence could cap readings at 31 °C or allow a brief push to 33 °C. Updated model cycles and official Italian Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds to Milan on September 3, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, limiting evaporative cooling while allowing strong insolation to push temperatures above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 26 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs have remained stable, with only modest spread around the 32 °C threshold, which explains the market’s heaviest weighting there; a slight westward shift in the ridge axis or earlier marine influence could cap readings at 31 °C or allow a brief push to 33 °C. Updated model cycles and official Italian Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds to Milan on September 3, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, limiting evaporative cooling while allowing strong insolation to push temperatures above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 26 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs have remained stable, with only modest spread around the 32 °C threshold, which explains the market’s heaviest weighting there; a slight westward shift in the ridge axis or earlier marine influence could cap readings at 31 °C or allow a brief push to 33 °C. Updated model cycles and official Italian Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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