Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
13°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$116,210 ปริมาณ
$116,210 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$116,210 ปริมาณ
$116,210 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
4°C or below
$1,382 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$1,160 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$1,353 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$1,767 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$1,747 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$7,957 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$16,016 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$18,055 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$28,911 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$16,602 ปริมาณ
Yes
14°C or higher
$21,260 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116,210วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116,210วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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