Latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 18?
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$290 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$137 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$153 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$60 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$243 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$125 ปริมาณ
16%
19°C
$82 ปริมาณ
34%
20°C
$160 ปริมาณ
29%
21°C
$168 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$108 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C or higher
$277 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,722วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,722วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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