**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s daily maximum on August 15, 2026, reflecting the city’s tropical wet-season climatology and current forecast guidance.** Panama City lies at low latitude with strong, consistent insolation year-round, but August falls in the peak rainy season when the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection. This produces widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Official and model guidance for the date shows maxima clustering around 30–31 °C, with brief windows for 32 °C if convective activity is delayed or less intense. Higher outcomes (33 °C+) remain low-probability because sustained clear skies and stronger insolation are uncommon in mid-August, while cooler readings (≤29 °C) would require unusually early or widespread rain. Recent model runs and observational trends have reinforced this narrow band, leading traders to assign the bulk of probability mass to the central values that align with both climatology and the latest forecast consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on August 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 15?
31°C 47%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
25%
31°C
47%
32°C
20%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 47%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$273 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$148 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$171 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$771 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$433 ปริมาณ
25%
31°C
$1,597 ปริมาณ
47%
32°C
$1,302 ปริมาณ
20%
33°C
$937 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$352 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$134 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s daily maximum on August 15, 2026, reflecting the city’s tropical wet-season climatology and current forecast guidance.**
Panama City lies at low latitude with strong, consistent insolation year-round, but August falls in the peak rainy season when the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection. This produces widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Official and model guidance for the date shows maxima clustering around 30–31 °C, with brief windows for 32 °C if convective activity is delayed or less intense.
Higher outcomes (33 °C+) remain low-probability because sustained clear skies and stronger insolation are uncommon in mid-August, while cooler readings (≤29 °C) would require unusually early or widespread rain. Recent model runs and observational trends have reinforced this narrow band, leading traders to assign the bulk of probability mass to the central values that align with both climatology and the latest forecast consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,266วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s daily maximum on August 15, 2026, reflecting the city’s tropical wet-season climatology and current forecast guidance.**
Panama City lies at low latitude with strong, consistent insolation year-round, but August falls in the peak rainy season when the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection. This produces widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Official and model guidance for the date shows maxima clustering around 30–31 °C, with brief windows for 32 °C if convective activity is delayed or less intense.
Higher outcomes (33 °C+) remain low-probability because sustained clear skies and stronger insolation are uncommon in mid-August, while cooler readings (≤29 °C) would require unusually early or widespread rain. Recent model runs and observational trends have reinforced this narrow band, leading traders to assign the bulk of probability mass to the central values that align with both climatology and the latest forecast consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,266วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s daily maximum on August 15, 2026, reflecting the city’s tropical wet-season climatology and current forecast guidance.** Panama City lies at low latitude with strong, consistent insolation year-round, but August falls in the peak rainy season when the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection. This produces widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Official and model guidance for the date shows maxima clustering around 30–31 °C, with brief windows for 32 °C if convective activity is delayed or less intense. Higher outcomes (33 °C+) remain low-probability because sustained clear skies and stronger insolation are uncommon in mid-August, while cooler readings (≤29 °C) would require unusually early or widespread rain. Recent model runs and observational trends have reinforced this narrow band, leading traders to assign the bulk of probability mass to the central values that align with both climatology and the latest forecast consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย