Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,336 ปริมาณ
$32,336 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,336 ปริมาณ
$32,336 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
49°F or below
$2,510 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$860 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$770 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$2,189 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$1,065 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$2,515 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$3,733 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$5,556 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$3,259 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$5,300 ปริมาณ
Yes
68°F or higher
$4,579 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,336วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,336วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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