Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$130,818 ปริมาณ
$130,818 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$130,818 ปริมาณ
$130,818 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$5,679 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,917 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$12,502 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$14,574 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$25,687 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$16,004 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$13,841 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$19,534 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$9,269 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,982 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$4,830 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$130,818วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$130,818วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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