Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$171,825 ปริมาณ
$171,825 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$171,825 ปริมาณ
$171,825 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
$10,663 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$7,320 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$10,817 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$10,734 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$43,151 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$20,638 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$18,334 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$26,142 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$12,157 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,793 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$5,076 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$171,825วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$171,825วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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