Traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a 27°C daily maximum in Shenzhen on May 17, reflecting strong agreement among ensemble forecast models that show stable subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates daytime highs will peak near this level, consistent with current sea surface temperatures in the South China Sea and light southerly flow across the Pearl River Delta. Historical mid-May observations for the region average 28–29°C, yet recent model runs have converged on a slightly cooler outcome due to localized sea breezes. Evening station reports will finalize the official reading, with little room for deviation given the absence of frontal passages or enhanced solar heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$48,715 ปริมาณ
$48,715 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$48,715 ปริมาณ
$48,715 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZTraders have overwhelmingly positioned for a 27°C daily maximum in Shenzhen on May 17, reflecting strong agreement among ensemble forecast models that show stable subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates daytime highs will peak near this level, consistent with current sea surface temperatures in the South China Sea and light southerly flow across the Pearl River Delta. Historical mid-May observations for the region average 28–29°C, yet recent model runs have converged on a slightly cooler outcome due to localized sea breezes. Evening station reports will finalize the official reading, with little room for deviation given the absence of frontal passages or enhanced solar heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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