Current forecast models project peak temperatures in Tel Aviv reaching or exceeding 35°C today, fueled by strong southerly flow transporting hot air from desert regions and clear skies maximizing solar heating. This setup deviates sharply from typical May climatology, where daily highs average near 27°C, and aligns with ongoing positive temperature anomalies across the eastern Mediterranean. The market-implied odds of 99.6% for 35°C or higher reflect broad consensus among ensemble predictions with low spread, underscoring minimal forecast uncertainty for this short-range event. Only a rapid wind shift introducing cooler maritime air or unexpected cloud buildup could realistically keep the high below that threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$67,517 ปริมาณ
$67,517 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$67,517 ปริมาณ
$67,517 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,768 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$4,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,381 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,721 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$4,265 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,971 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$8,783 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$7,810 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$8,025 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$12,090 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models project peak temperatures in Tel Aviv reaching or exceeding 35°C today, fueled by strong southerly flow transporting hot air from desert regions and clear skies maximizing solar heating. This setup deviates sharply from typical May climatology, where daily highs average near 27°C, and aligns with ongoing positive temperature anomalies across the eastern Mediterranean. The market-implied odds of 99.6% for 35°C or higher reflect broad consensus among ensemble predictions with low spread, underscoring minimal forecast uncertainty for this short-range event. Only a rapid wind shift introducing cooler maritime air or unexpected cloud buildup could realistically keep the high below that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,517วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models project peak temperatures in Tel Aviv reaching or exceeding 35°C today, fueled by strong southerly flow transporting hot air from desert regions and clear skies maximizing solar heating. This setup deviates sharply from typical May climatology, where daily highs average near 27°C, and aligns with ongoing positive temperature anomalies across the eastern Mediterranean. The market-implied odds of 99.6% for 35°C or higher reflect broad consensus among ensemble predictions with low spread, underscoring minimal forecast uncertainty for this short-range event. Only a rapid wind shift introducing cooler maritime air or unexpected cloud buildup could realistically keep the high below that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,517วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecast models project peak temperatures in Tel Aviv reaching or exceeding 35°C today, fueled by strong southerly flow transporting hot air from desert regions and clear skies maximizing solar heating. This setup deviates sharply from typical May climatology, where daily highs average near 27°C, and aligns with ongoing positive temperature anomalies across the eastern Mediterranean. The market-implied odds of 99.6% for 35°C or higher reflect broad consensus among ensemble predictions with low spread, underscoring minimal forecast uncertainty for this short-range event. Only a rapid wind shift introducing cooler maritime air or unexpected cloud buildup could realistically keep the high below that threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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