Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$117,984 ปริมาณ
$117,984 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$117,984 ปริมาณ
$117,984 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$7,440 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$11,358 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$10,108 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,608 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,736 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$11,418 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,317 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$14,023 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$10,591 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$13,301 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$20,084 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,984วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,984วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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