**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,292 ปริมาณ
$59,292 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,292 ปริมาณ
$59,292 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
8°C or below
$1,150 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$800 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$1,366 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$810 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,797 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$7,266 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$17,754 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$11,158 ปริมาณ
Yes
16°C
$6,541 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,004 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$5,647 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,292วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,292วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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