Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 19?
14°C 45%
15°C 36%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
45%
15°C
36%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 45%
15°C 36%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
8°C or below
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$218 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$223 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$27 ปริมาณ
3%
13°C
$327 ปริมาณ
14%
14°C
$310 ปริมาณ
45%
15°C
$153 ปริมาณ
36%
16°C
$43 ปริมาณ
8%
17°C
$244 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C or higher
$179 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,101วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,101วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNForecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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