Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 ปริมาณ
$53,840 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 ปริมาณ
$53,840 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$2,840 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$2,362 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$4,007 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$2,263 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$7,921 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$7,792 ปริมาณ
100%
15°C
$4,620 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$8,352 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$4,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$4,824 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,840วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,840วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNOfficial forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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