Current forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,814 ปริมาณ
$53,814 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,814 ปริมาณ
$53,814 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$2,840 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$2,362 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$4,007 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$2,263 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$7,921 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$7,765 ปริมาณ
100%
15°C
$4,620 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$8,352 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$4,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$4,824 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,814วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,814วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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