Internal power struggles following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination during the 2026 Iran war and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei have fueled factional accusations of coup plotting. In July 2026, hardline lawmakers publicly warned of a "soft coup" or leadership challenge by figures including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Masoud Pezeshkian, citing shifts in authority to the Supreme Council for National Security and pressures from US truce talks. These divisions occur against a backdrop of suppressed 2025-2026 protests, wartime strikes, and external regime-change rhetoric, though no widely reported military coup attempt has occurred. Traders weigh the risk of escalating internal rifts against the regime's demonstrated security apparatus and recent stabilization efforts through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,115,813 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
12%
$2,115,813 ปริมาณ
December 31
$74,587 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal power struggles following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination during the 2026 Iran war and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei have fueled factional accusations of coup plotting. In July 2026, hardline lawmakers publicly warned of a "soft coup" or leadership challenge by figures including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Masoud Pezeshkian, citing shifts in authority to the Supreme Council for National Security and pressures from US truce talks. These divisions occur against a backdrop of suppressed 2025-2026 protests, wartime strikes, and external regime-change rhetoric, though no widely reported military coup attempt has occurred. Traders weigh the risk of escalating internal rifts against the regime's demonstrated security apparatus and recent stabilization efforts through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,115,813วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal power struggles following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination during the 2026 Iran war and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei have fueled factional accusations of coup plotting. In July 2026, hardline lawmakers publicly warned of a "soft coup" or leadership challenge by figures including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Masoud Pezeshkian, citing shifts in authority to the Supreme Council for National Security and pressures from US truce talks. These divisions occur against a backdrop of suppressed 2025-2026 protests, wartime strikes, and external regime-change rhetoric, though no widely reported military coup attempt has occurred. Traders weigh the risk of escalating internal rifts against the regime's demonstrated security apparatus and recent stabilization efforts through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,115,813วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Internal power struggles following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination during the 2026 Iran war and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei have fueled factional accusations of coup plotting. In July 2026, hardline lawmakers publicly warned of a "soft coup" or leadership challenge by figures including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Masoud Pezeshkian, citing shifts in authority to the Supreme Council for National Security and pressures from US truce talks. These divisions occur against a backdrop of suppressed 2025-2026 protests, wartime strikes, and external regime-change rhetoric, though no widely reported military coup attempt has occurred. Traders weigh the risk of escalating internal rifts against the regime's demonstrated security apparatus and recent stabilization efforts through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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