**Current forecasts from global and regional models, aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, point to an overnight low near 20°C in Busan on September 10 under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–26°C while limiting extreme drops through boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 18–22°C, placing the current setup within normal variability. Minor differences among ECMWF, GFS, and local runs—primarily in cloud cover timing and wind strength—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–20°C versus slightly warmer outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between clear-sky cooling potential and sustained onshore flow. Updated model runs and official minimum readings on the 10th will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on September 10?
24°C or higher 63%
14°C or below 43%
15°C 37%
23°C 37%
14°C or below
43%
15°C
37%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
29%
20°C
35%
21°C
17%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
63%
24°C or higher 63%
14°C or below 43%
15°C 37%
23°C 37%
14°C or below
43%
15°C
37%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
29%
20°C
35%
21°C
17%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from global and regional models, aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, point to an overnight low near 20°C in Busan on September 10 under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–26°C while limiting extreme drops through boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 18–22°C, placing the current setup within normal variability. Minor differences among ECMWF, GFS, and local runs—primarily in cloud cover timing and wind strength—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–20°C versus slightly warmer outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between clear-sky cooling potential and sustained onshore flow. Updated model runs and official minimum readings on the 10th will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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