Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
28°C or higher <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 ปริมาณ
$28,410 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
28°C or higher <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 ปริมาณ
$28,410 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,261 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,089 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$672 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,815 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$6,393 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$7,748 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,338 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,117 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$795 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,366 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,410วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,410วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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